Presentations and Speeches
How U.S. Policy Shifts Are Reshaping the Economic Outlook,” presentation to the Harvard Club of Seattle, July 9, 2025.
Discussant for “Assessing the Risks and Costs of the Rising U.S. Federal Debt” (Edelberg, Harris, and Sheiner), “Fiscal Consolidation – Are There Lessons for the U.S.?” (Gale, Berlin, and Thorpe), and “Radical Reform Is the Only Path to Fiscal Sustainability” (Kotlikoff), at the 55th Annual Spring Symposium of the National Tax Association, May 9, 2025.
Panelist, Keynote Session (with Doug Holz-Eakin and David Johnson), at the Society of Government Economists Annual Meeting, April 4, 2025.
“U.S. Policy Shocks and Rising Uncertainty Weaken US and Global Economic Outlook,” at Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2025 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 16, 2025. Slides and video available here.
Panelist, “Monetary Policy,” with Mary Daly, Adriana Kugler, John Taylor, and Ayşegül Şahin, at the 2025 Annual Meeting of the Allied Social Sciences Associations, January 4, 2025. Video available here.
“U.S. Economic Prospects: Uncertainty Amid Policy Shifts,” at PIIE/CF40 Forum on US-China Relations and Economic Outlook. December 12, 2024. Slides and video available here.
“Committee on National Statistics Public Seminar: Creating an Integrated System of Data and Statistics on Household Income, Consumption, and Wealth,” (joint with other members of expert panel), December 10, 2024. Video available here.
“Expansion Continues as Inflation Falls, but U.S. Election Uncertainty Looms,” at Peterson Institute for International Economics Fall 2024 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, October 15, 2024. Slides and video available here.
Moderator, Day 1 of “Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 2024 Economic Policy Symposium,” August 23, 2024. Program available here.
“Earnings Inequality and Payroll Tax Revenue: Broader Considerations,” at NBER Summer Institute Session on the Economics of Social Security, Wednesday, July 24, 2024. Video available here.
“Discussion of ‘The Cost of Building Walls: Immigration and the Fiscal Burden of Aging in Europe’ and ‘CBO’s Demographic Outlook: 2024 to 2054’ at NBER Conference on Fertility and Declining Population Growth in High-Income Countries.” June 6, 2024.
“A Soft Landing? Prospects for the US Economy in 2024 and Beyond,” Harvard Institute for Learning in Retirement Forum, April 12, 2024. Slides available here.
“Global Growth Continues (Inflation Not So Much),” Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2024 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 9, 2024. Slides and video available here.
“Opportunities to Improve Research and Policy with a System of Household Income, Consumption, and Wealth Data,” at the 2024 Annual Meeting of the Allied Social Sciences Associations, January 6, 2024. Slides available here.
“Deficits, Debt, and Difficult Decisions,” at the 2024 Annual Meeting of the Allied Social Sciences Associations, January 5, 2024. Slides available here.
“Measuring Household Financial Stability: Policy Needs,” at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Convening on Household Financial Stability: Data, Metrics, and Missing Pieces, November 2, 2023. Slides available here.
“A Soft Landing Beckons But is Not Assured,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Fall 2023 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, September 26, 2023. Slides and video available here.
“Challenges for US Economic Policy,” at the Juli Plant Grainger Institute for Economic Research, University of Wisconsin—Madison, September 21, 2023. Slides available here.
“Modest Growth—with Downside Risk,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2023 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, March 28, 2023. Slides and video available here.
“Changes in Racial Gaps in Retirement Security over Time,” at 2023 Wharton Pension Research Council Symposium, March 30, 2023. Slides available here.
“Using Data to Make Better Economic Policy in the 21st Century,” at Georgetown University Massive Data Institute Distinguished Lecture, March 23, 2023. Slides available here.
“Household Issues in the COVID Era,” at MIT Independent Activities Period Event on Pandemic Lessons, January 31, 2023. Slides available here.
“Discussion of ‘Wealth, Race, and Consumption Smoothing of Typical Income Shocks’ by Ganong, Jones, Noel, Farrell, Grieg, and Wheat,” at the CEPR Micro and Macro Implications of Household Behaviour and Financial Decision-Making seminar series, November 18, 2022.
Panelist, Keynote Panel with Philip Jefferson, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, and Neel Kashkari, at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Fall 2022 Research Conference, November 17, 2022. Video available here.
“The Return of Inflation—Post-Pandemic Conundrum for Central Banks,” panel remarks at the 14th German-American Conference, October 28, 2022.
“High Inflation and the Hard Road Ahead,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Fall 2022 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, October 6, 2022. Slides and video available here.
“What’s Ahead for the U.S. Economy?” at the Harvard Institute for Learning in Retirement, September 29, 2022.
“Conversation on the US Economic Outlook with Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther George,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, September 9, 2022. Video available here.
Comment on “Economic Impact Payments and Household Spending During the Pandemic” by Parker, Schild, Erhard, and Johnson,” at the Fall 2022 Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Conference, September 8, 2022.
“High Inflation and Slower Global Economic Growth,” at the National Economists Club luncheon, July 14, 2022.
“What Future Global Economic Policymakers Need to Know,” at the Harvard International Relations Scholars Program, May 25, 2022.
“High Inflation and Slowing Growth,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2022 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 12, 2022. Slides and video available here.
“Technology, Productivity, and Policy,” panel remarks at the NBER/CRIW Spring 2022 Conference, March 18, 2022.
“What’s Next for the U.S. Economy? Prospects for Growth, Jobs, and Inflation,” at Retired Men’s Association of Greenwich, January 19, 2022.
“A New Role for Government in the ‘New’ Economy.” Panel remarks at the 2022 Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 8, 2022.
“Are Households Financially Prepared for Retirement?” at the 2022 Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 8, 2022.
“Perfect Storm: Women, Work, and the COVID-19 Pandemic,” panel remarks at the Brown University Pembroke Center, December 14, 2021.
“Beyond COVID: How to Promote Inclusive Growth,” panel remarks at the Harvard Kennedy School Center for International Development, December 1, 2021. Video available here.
“What (More) Should the Fed Do to Restore the U.S. Economy?” at the Harvard Institute for Learning in Retirement, October 22, 2021. Slides available here.
“Economic Recovery Continues—with Complications,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Fall 2021 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, October 5, 2021. Slides and video available here.
“Findings from the 2021 National Academies Report on Rental Evictions and the COVID-19 Pandemic,” panel remarks at Federal Reserve Bank of New York Roundtable on Current Responses to Housing Instability, July 8, 2021.
“Rental Evictions and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Averting a Looming Crisis,” National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Report Briefing and Webinar, June 30, 2021. Slides available here.
“Priorities for a CNSTAT Consensus Study,” panel remarks at the CNSTAT Planning Meeting on an Integrated System of Household Income, Consumption, and Wealth Data and Statistics, May 28, 2021. Slides available here.
“The COVID-19 Recession and Recovery: What's Next?” Harvard Kennedy School Executive Education Faculty Webcast, May 20, 2021. Slides available here. Video available here.
“Economic Policy During the Pandemic Recession and Recovery,” at the Oxford Philosophy, Politics, and Economics Society, May 19, 2021. Slides available here.
Panelist, “From Crisis to Recovery: What Can Tax Policy Do?” at the 51st Annual Spring Symposium of the National Tax Association, May 13, 2021.
“The Rental Evictions Pilot of the R3SSI Initiative,” panel remarks at the 2021 Annual Meeting of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,” April 24, 2021.
“Comments on Global Prospects and Policies,” at the George Washington University Institute for International Economic Policy event on the International Monetary Fund’s Spring 2021 World Economic Outlook,” April 23, 2021.
“The Economic Outlook: A Surge, and Then …?” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2021 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 1, 2021. Slides and video available here.
“The U.S. Post-COVID Macroeconomic Environment,” panel remarks at the China Finance 40 Forum | Euro 50 Group | Peterson Institute for International Economics Conference on “The Dollar, the Euro, and then Renminbi in the New Geopolitical Environment,” March 27, 2021.
“Innovations in Measuring the Economic Impacts of COVID-19: Discussion,” at the 2021 Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 4, 2021. Slides available here.
“Discussion of ‘Sharing is Caring: Inequality, Transfers and Growth in the National Accounts’ by Marina Gindelsky,” at the 2021 Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 3, 2021. Slides available here.
“To Reduce Inequality, Run a Hot Economy,” at the Harvard Kennedy School Wiener Center Five Big Ideas Lunchtime Series, December 6, 2020. Slides available here.
“Comments on Allocation Methods for ‘Other’ Components,” at the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Committee on National Statistics Expert Meeting, December 3, 2020. Slides available here.
“Monetary Policy During and After the COVID Recession,” at the Harvard Institute for Learning in Retirement, October 30, 2020.
“Strengthening the US Economy to Foster Rebuilding and Recovery,” at Peterson Institute for International Economics event on Rebuilding the Global Economy: Role of the White House, October 26, 2020. Video available here.
“The Economic Outlook: The Recovery Gets Harder from Here,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Fall 2020 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, October 8, 2020. Slides and video available here.
“Restoring the U.S. Economy,” at the Kauffman Foundation 2020 Mayors Conference on Entrepreneurship, September 17, 2020. Slides available here.
“The Future of the Global Economy,” at Fulbright University Vietnam, May 6, 2020. Text available here.
“Highlights of the 2020:Q1 U.S. GDP Report,” at China Finance 40 Forum Pu Shan Lecture, May 4, 2020. Slides available here.
“U.S. Economic Outlook,” panel remarks at the 2020 Institute of International Finance Policy Summit,” April 16, 2020.
“The Economic Outlook: Pandemic and Recession,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2020 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 10, 2020. Slides and video available here.
“The Student Debt Overhang: Concerns and Policy Options,” at the National Association for Business Economics Policy Conference, February 25, 2020. Slides available here.
“National Fiscal Policies to Reduce Cyclical Volatility in U.S. States,” at the 2020 Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 4, 2020. Slides available here.
“Discussion of ‘How Will Retirement Saving Change by 2020?’ by Gale, Gelfond, and Fitchner,” at the 2020 Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 3, 2020. Slides avaiable here.
“Comments on the National Academies’ Consensus Study Report ‘A Roadmap to Reducing Child Poverty’,” at the 2020 Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, January 3, 2020. Slides available here.
“The Economic Context for Reforming the Safety Net,” panel remarks at AAPSS/AEI/Brookings “Entitlement Reform: The Effectiveness of the Safety Net and Evidence for Responsible Policy event,” November 21, 2019. Video available here.
“Stock Market Wealth Effects and Consumption: Evidence from the PSID,” at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, November 14, 2019.
“National Fiscal Policies to Reduce Cyclical Volatility in States,” at the Harvard Macroeconomic Policy Seminar, November 12, 2019.
“Macroeconomic Implications of Inequality,” panel remarks at the Center for Equitable Growth “Vision 2020: Evidence for a Stronger Economy” event, November 1, 2019.
“What’s Wrong with Student Loans (and How to Fix It),” at the 2019 Wellesley College Goldman Lecture in Economics, October 16, 2019. Remarks available here.
“The Economic Outlook: Global Slowdown,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2019 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 2, 2019. Slides and video available here.
“Discussion of ‘Infrastructure Costs’ by Leah Brooks and Zachary Liscow, at the NBER Summer Institute Urban Economics Workshop, July 25, 2019.
“Improving Federal Student Loan Policy,” webinar sponsored by the UW-Madison Institute for Research on Poverty, June 26, 2019. Video available here.
“How Much Debt is Too Much?” panel remarks at the Private Debt Initiative NextGen Conference, June 21, 2019.
“Discussion of ‘How to Think about Finance?’ by Atif Mian” at the Private Debt Initiative NextGen Conference, June 20, 2019.
“Roundtable Discussion on Providing Direct Payments to Households as Fiscal Stimulus” (with Claudia Sahm) at the Hamilton Project/Center for Equitable Growth Event on Preparing for the Next Recession: Policies to Reduce the Impact on the U.S. Economy. Video available here.
“The Risk of Financial Hardship in Retirement: A Cohort Analysis,” at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, May 9, 2019.
“Improving Student Loan Outcomes through Better Policy,” at the University of Massachusetts Boston Economics Spring 2019 Seminar Series, May 8, 2019.
“The Risk of Financial Hardship in Retirement: A Cohort Analysis,” at the Pension Research Council 2019 Symposium on Remaking Retirement? Debt in an Aging Economy, May 2, 2019. Slides available here.
“The Global Economy: Downshift,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2019 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 2, 2019. Slides and video available here.
“The Implications of Low Productivity Growth for Fiscal Policy,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Facing Up to Low Productivity Book Launch Event,” March 20, 2019.
“Improving Student Loan Outcomes through Better Policy,” at the University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty Seminar, February 21, 2019. Slides available here.
“Addressing our Shared Global Challenges,” Opening Remarks at the MIT 2019 Model United Nations Conference, February 8, 2019.
“Discussion of ’How Will Retirement Saving Change by 2050?’ and ’Financial Fragility among Middle-Income Households,’ at US 2050 Fall 2018 Conference, November 3, 2018. Slides available here.
“The State of the Economy and the Labor Market,” with Eduardo Porter and Jay Shambaugh, webinar sponsored by EconoFact and The Hamilton Project at Brookings, October 23, 2018. Excerpts available here, here, and here.
“The Economic Outlook: Riding High (for Now),” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Fall 2018 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, October 4, 2018. Slides and video available here.
“Discussion of ‘Transportation Capital and its Effects on the U.S. Economy: A General Equilibrium Approach’,” at the NBER Summer Institute Urban Economics Workshop, July 27, 2018.
“The Future of Poverty Policy in the Current Environment,” Dinner panel remarks at the 2018 Institute for Research on Poverty Summer Research Workshop, June 19, 2018.
“Macroeconomic Policy Challenges,” at the Harvard University Economics Department Alumni Reception, May 26, 2018. Slides available here.
“The Future of Housing Finance,” Panel remarks at the Rutgers Center for Real Estate Joint Conference with the Pulte Group, May 15, 2018.
“Getting the Most Out of the Federal Student Loan Program,” Yale University Okun Memorial Conversation, April 11, 2018. Slides available here.
“The Global Economy: A Cyclical Boom (with Risks),” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2018 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 4, 2018. Slides and video available here.
“Economic Policy in a Low-Productivity, Low-Interest-Rate Environment,” Remarks for the 19th Annual NBER Neemrana Conference, December 16, 2017. Slides available here.
“Implications for Tax Policy of Lower Trend Productivity Growth,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Conference on Policy Implications of Sustained Low Productivity Growth, November 9, 2017. Slides available here.
“Population Aging and Tax Policy,” Comments for National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting, September 2017.
“Informing Mortgage Market Reform,” Comments at the MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy Annual Conference, September 2017.
“The Evolving U.S. Economy and Household Debt,” Remarks for the Household Debt Tipping Points Research Symposium, June 2017. Text available here.
“Essential Elements of Effective Economic Policymaking,” Address to the Society of Government Economists, May 2017. Text available here.
“Domestic Effects of Changes in U.S. Fiscal and Monetary Policy,” at the 6th CF40-PIIE Economists Symposium, May 7, 2017.
“Mortgage Interventions and Economic Growth,” Remarks for the “Appropriate Government Role in U.S. Mortgage Markets” Workshop, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, April 2017. Text available here.
“Economic Effects of Possible Changes in U.S. Fiscal and Regulatory Policy,” at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2017 Global Economic Prospects Meeting, April 12, 2017. Slides and video available here.
“Mortgage Policy and the Macroeconomy,” Lunchtime panel remarks for the National Bureau of Economic Research 32nd Annual Conference on Macroeconomics, April 2017.
“Economic Challenges Facing U.S. Policymakers,” Penn-Wharton Public Policy Initiative Lecture, November 2016.
“Economic Growth and the American Household,” Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Associates Meeting, October 2016.
“Discussion of ‘Why Has Economic Growth Remained Moderate after the Great Recession?’,” Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, 60th Economic Conference, October 2016.
“Household Economic Security and Public Policy,” National Association for Business Economics Economic Policy Conference, March 2016.
“Personal Saving and Public Policy,” Forecasters Club of New York, February 2016.
“Inequality, Opportunity, and Growth: What Can the Government Do?” Wellesley College, February 2016.
“Policies to Raise Personal Saving,” Center for American Progress, October 2015.
“What Can Federal Policy Do to Help Achieve Broadly Shared Economic Growth?” NBER Tax Policy and the Economy Meeting, September 2015.
“Enhancing Economic Opportunity for the Middle Class,” National Economists Club, June 2015.
“Discussion of ‘Skills, Mobility, and Growth’ and ‘Can Schools Level the Intergenerational Playing Field? Lessons from Equal Educational Opportunity Policies’,” Federal Reserve System Community Development Research Conference, April 2015.
“Deleveraging in the United States,” Peterson Institute for International Economics Conference on the Global State of Debt and Deleveraging, February 2015.
“What’s Driving Deleveraging? Evidence from the 2007-2009 Survey of Consumer Finances,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York, June 2013.
“Is a Household Debt Overhang Holding Back Consumption?” University of Michigan Conference on New Directions in Consumption Research with the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, March 2013.
“What’s Driving Deleveraging? Evidence from the 2007-2009 Survey of Consumer Finances,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Research Symposium on Restoring Household Financial Stability, February 2013.
“Is a Household Debt Overhang Holding Back Consumption?” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, November 2012.
“The Evolution of Household Income Volatility,” U.S. Financial Diaries Advisory Board meeting, September 2012.
“Discussion of ‘Dissecting Saving Dynamics: Measuring Credit, Wealth, and Precautionary Effects’ by Carroll, Slacalek, and Sommer,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Conference on Structural and Cyclical Elements in Macroeconomics, March 2012.
“Consumer Expenditure Data: A Tool for Better-Informed Policy Decisions,” Conference on Improving the Measurement of Consumer Expenditures sponsored by the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth and the National Bureau of Economic Research, December 2011.
“Discussion of ‘The Future of the GSEs: The Role for Government in the U.S. Mortgage Market’ by Jaffee and Quigley,” NBER conference on The Role of the Government in Residential Mortgage Markets, October 2011.
“Changing Retirement Behavior in the Wake of the Financial Crisis,” Pension Research Council Spring Symposium, May 2011.
“Household Deleveraging and the Outlook for Consumer Spending,” Macroeconomic Advisers, 109th Quarterly Outlook Meeting,” December 2010.
“Financial Regulation and the Economic Security of Low-Income Households,” Institute for Research on Poverty, University of Wisconsin,” October 2010.
“Household Leveraging and Deleveraging,” National Economics Club, May 2010.
“Wealth Effects and the Changing Economy,” National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on the Economics of Household Saving,” April 2010.
“Household Leveraging and Deleveraging,” Forecasters Club of New York, February 2010.